Brexit Will Send U.S. Mortgage Rates to New Lows

Since voters in the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, bond yields have plummeted. Before the vote, 10 year U.S. bond yields were at 1.73 percent, today 10 year yields are down another 10 basis points to 1.48 percent.

During the past week, average 30 year mortgage rates also plummeted. Last Thursday before the vote, 30 year mortgage rates were averaging 3.73 percent, today 30 year rates are averaging 3.55 percent. We expect average 30 year rates to fall even further this week, likely below 3.50 percent and as low as 3.40 percent.

Mortgage lenders are already offering 30 year conforming mortgage rates below 3.50 percent. On the California mortgage rate list, the lowest 30 year mortgage rate available is from Sebonic Financial at an incredibly low rate of 3.00 percent with 1.10 mortgage points. The lowest rate without points is currently at 3.375 percent.

By the end of this week, the lowest rates available with points will fall below 3.00 percent and the lowest rates without points will be at 3.25 percent or below. If equity markets continue to decline in the coming weeks, bond yields will hit new lows and as a result, mortgage rates will also hit new lows.

Author: Brian McKay
June 27th, 2016